Articles / Oilers’ Nurse Not One of NHL’s Worst Contracts Based on New Model

Oilers’ Nurse Not One of NHL’s Worst Contracts Based on New Model

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The Hockey Writers
Aug 2, 2025 2:25 PM

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The Edmonton Oilers' defenseman Darnell Nurse has been at the center of discussions regarding the perceived value of NHL contracts. Many analysts have suggested that Nurse's contract might be one of the least favorable in the league, considering both his performance and the salary cap implications for the team. However, a new analytical model challenges this narrative. The model takes a comprehensive approach, evaluating players not just on cap hit but also on their contributions to team success and value generation over time.

Darnell Nurse, who signed a substantial eight-year contract extension worth $74 million, has faced scrutiny from fans and analysts alike. Critics argue that his on-ice performance does not justify such a hefty salary, especially in a league that is tightening its financial belts. Yet, the model highlights that Nurse's presence on the ice, including his minutes played, leadership qualities, and ability to impact games, provide significant value that isn't always reflected in conventional statistics.

With the model's insights, it becomes clear that Nurse might not be on the list of the NHL's worst contracts after all. It prompts a reevaluation of how contracts should be assessed in the modern game. The discussion surrounding Nurse's contract ultimately leads to a broader conversation about the importance of analytics in hockey, how teams value player contributions, and the balance between contracts and actual performance metrics.

As teams like the Oilers look to navigate the challenges of team construction under a salary cap, understanding the true value of players like Darnell Nurse becomes crucial. Emphasizing such analytics could prompt teams to reconsider their approaches, ensuring they make the most of their investments while fostering player development and overall team success.

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